First PEER Winner Reports on New York's Global Warming Three Grants to be Given in New Round of Awards

Global warming is part of New York's future, says Hunter College professor William Solecki. And the consequences, if unchecked, might be dire for the city's geography as well as its health, he cautions.

Solecki's report, co-authored with researchers Wenge Ni-Meister and Hongmian Gong, was funded by NNYN and CUNY through their PEER award program -- part of NNYN's support of scientific research on the impacts of global warming on the urban environment and ways to mitigate it. NNYN created the PEER awards to specifically engage CUNY faculty in research related to New York and its environs. The success of the first has resulted in increasing the number of grants for the second round to three.

Solecki's project -- "Climate Change and a Global City: The Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change in Metropolitan New York" - was the winner of a competitive review process that was co-chaired by Jake Kheel and David Rosane of NNYN and representatives of CUNY. A condition of the grant is that researchers have to publicly report their findings and also submit a major grant proposal to expand on their work. The second round of awards (www.cuny.edu/research) expands the nature of the work that can be done and also allows for greater cooperation between researchers of the CUNY system.

For "Climate Change and a Global City" the researchers used satellite data to study how the local climate and environment of New York is affected by urban land use. They discovered that warming would increase the sea level and increase the frequency of so-called "100 year floods" to three and four year cycles. They also found that the sea level increase could lessen the city's wet lands and affect wildlife in the area. In addition, say the researchers, warming would clearly heighten the urban heat island effect.

What will warming do? It will result in an increase in the sea level and the "100-year floods" will occur more frequently - such as in three and four-year cycles. The impact of the sea-level rise will be greatest on the city's coastal ecosystems, especially in the lessening of the city's wetlands. It also will impact the wildlife living in that area. The data also suggests that a heightening of the urban heat island effect, which tends to increase the need for air conditioning and increase pollution.

Some of the problems can be remediated, says Solecki. The raising of drainage pipes above the water level, architectural redesigns to include cooler roofing and pavement materials should help. Mitigation strategies should also include more planting to expand the vegetation that acts as a buffer against warming. But the coastal areas might also need redevelopment to cope with gradual warming.





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